North Carolina started their season with a disappointing 10-17 loss to Virginia Tech last Friday. As a result, they went from # 10 to # 24 in the recent AP poll. Even though the Tar Heels lost their opener of the 2021 campaign, they still have high hopes for this campaign. They will be looking to move in the right direction against Georgia State on Saturday.
Georgia State, a member of the Sun Belt Conference, also lost its first game. They fell to the military in a 43-10 loss. The Panthers have allowed 258 rushing yards in this game, so there’s a good chance North Carolina can build on their running game here. Georgia State recorded just 177 total yards against Army last weekend, so they’ll need to step up that department to follow a top-25 team.
Let’s go through all the betting angles of this Saturday afternoon showdown.
- Open line: North Carolina -25.5
- Over / Under: 64.5
- Location: Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
- Kick-off: 7:30 a.m. ET
North Carolina opened their doors as 25.5 point favorites in this game before the gap grew to 26. I wouldn’t be surprised if that number grows even more as we head towards the kickoff. ‘mail. Meanwhile, the total jumped to 66 points after opening to 64.5.
It’s no secret that North Carolina’s offensive looked out of whack against Virginia Tech last Friday. Don’t expect it to be this time around. A rebound is in store for Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback Sam Howell and company.
How on earth can the state of Georgia hang out with North Carolina? The Panthers were dominated in every facet of the game against Army last week. Dealing with North Carolina is a big step up in the classroom from that. Georgia State will need to get some turnovers, build momentum and set the pace to keep things respectable in this lopsided game.
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- Georgia State is 4-1 ATS in its last five games.
- The record is 6-3 in North Carolina’s last nine games.
- North Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last six games.
The Tar Heels are angry and extremely motivated to punish Georgia State in this game. There is a significant talent gap between these teams, and that will show on Saturday. In fact, North Carolina could throw the ball every play and still potentially cover the gap. That’s pretty much what the military did against Georgia State last weekend.
Quarterback Sam Howell will right the ship and improve his stats to stay relevant to the Heisman Trophy. I either take North Carolina ATS or pass this game on.
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Spencer Limbach is a featured writer at BettingPros and FantasyPros. To learn more about Spencer, check out his archive and follow it @spenser_jl.
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